3rd Degree


FCD Plus/Minus

December 7th, 2009 . 11:56 am . By: Buzz Carrick

Scaryice over at Climbing the Ladder, one of my favorite blogs, has one of my favorite stats up:  Plus/Minus.  This is the MLS version of the great hockey stat.  I’m not sure that it’s as telling as it is in hockey, but I still like it.

I won’t steal his work and place it all here, but you can go look and come back for comment if you like.

Some quick thoughts…

As Scaryice mentions, easy to spot first half versus last half of the season participants.

Depending who’s on the ice grass with a given player, someone excellent can have a really bad number.  Cooper -5?

Good teams have lots of + and skew high (CLB).  Bad teams lots of – and skew low (NYRB).  Average teams have some +/- around the even mark (NE).  FCD has both really high and really low with a massive swing.

Ouch Drew Moor, one of my favorite players, -10.  He was ever present during the horrific first half so gets all the negative points and none of the positive.  I don’t think this number is reflective of him as an individual, but rather just how bad the first half was.

Andre Rocha at the bottom with a -8 is not remotely shocking given his obvious lack of effort or desire.  Only only further reinforces the questions as to why he kept seeing the field in the second half of the season.

George John rocking the +11.  Damn.  We all liked him of course, but that’s impressive.  Second best # in the league in +/- per 90.  Adjusted +/- (go read it) and John is #1 in all of MLS by a big margin.

Combine John with Ugo +8, Benitez +7, Pearce +3, and Hernandez +7 and you can see where the turnaround came from, a fixed defense.  John, Benitez, and Ugo in the top 8 in the league for adjusted plus minus.

Contrast that to Moor -10, Torres -7, Purdy -5, Wagner -5, and Saragosa -4 and it’s clear as day.  Saragosa, Rocha, Moor, Burse, and Cooper all in the worst 10 in MLS for adjusted +/-.  Dang.

Sala (+7) vs Burse (-6) also telling.

Van den Bergh -4 isn’t good, never recovered from the first half maybe.  Although David Ferreira did at +1.





15 Comments

  1. Comment by Make the Penalty Area Smaller on December 7, 2009 12:37 PM

    Good stuff. I look at Drew Moor as ‘if you’re not part of the solution, you’re part of the problem.’ He was an FCD starter for years and we never had a reliable defense.

  2. Comment by Steve on December 7, 2009 12:44 PM

    Like you said, this can be misleading for offensive players that usually go 90 (like Cooper, VdB), since they may not have much at all to do with the defensive lapses.
    The most fascinating aspect of this is the John, Ugo, Benitez, Pearce, Hernandez, Sala numbers in comparison to the Moor, Torres, Purdy, Wagner, Saragosa, Burse numbers.

    My work comp blocks Climbing the Ladder. Are the stats for Moor and Ugo for FCD alone, or their total stats with both FCD and the cRapids?

  3. Comment by Buzz Carrick on December 7, 2009 12:46 PM

    FCD alone. For example, Harris is +5 at FCD, but +10 FCD and Chivas combined.

  4. Comment by Buzz Carrick on December 7, 2009 12:48 PM

    Ugo was +1 at Col, Moor -4. Although again Moor arrived right when they had a ton of injuries and went down hill.

    I think quite highly of Moor as a player, but this year, at least in terms of +/-, he had a really bad season.

  5. Comment by Philip on December 7, 2009 4:07 PM

    Hello
    Hello
    Hello
    This is NOT correct info…..
    Check the 2 keepers
    So, we scored 44 w/Sala-Burse and allowed 43?
    Well, in reality we scored 50 and allowed 47
    So, we scored 6 and allowed 4 w/neither keeper on the field??
    Please explain

  6. Comment by Buzz Carrick on December 7, 2009 4:34 PM

    “I’ve decided to only include the minutes played where both teams were at full strength, and only goals scored and allowed during 11 on 11 play are included below.”

  7. Comment by texgator on December 7, 2009 4:46 PM

    It’s only a valid stat for subs or players that played partial seasons. For the regular starters the plus-minus will be the same as the Goal Differential for the team, which tells you nothing of the individual’s play.

  8. Comment by Teddy on December 7, 2009 6:09 PM

    Very interesting, but I agree with Tex. This kind of “statistic” has limited use in sports like soccer, because unlike hockey and basketball the player-personnel on the pitch do not change as much as they do on the ice or court. (E.g. Regular starters like McCarty and Ferriera average close to the team average.) With that said, it is particularly effective in evaluating personnel changes / injuries during the course of the season (G. John, Ihemulu). Also, I’m skeptical in finding any predictive value in a stat such as this.

  9. Comment by USvsIreland on December 8, 2009 2:14 AM

    Buzz, sorry to be off topic here, but will you be getting those GenAd primary lists this year like you have done in the past? Just wondering!!

    Great work on the GenAd page.

  10. Comment by Buzz Carrick on December 8, 2009 3:20 AM

    I’m not going to the final four, but I’ll look my friend up and see if he is getting them. I imagine I will be able to get them off him.

  11. Comment by Jayhawk1106 on December 8, 2009 11:25 AM

    I actually find this an interesting stat. I’ve never thought of using it for soccer. I believe it tells you SOME stuff about the player, but not all. You still have to work your way to play on the field, so I believe that the whole “It doesn’t work for soccer” thing isn’t true. It does. You can tell who the missing link would be. You can tell from the defense alone. We really turned it around once we redid our back line.

  12. Comment by USvsIreland on December 8, 2009 11:51 PM

    Great news!!!

  13. Comment by seventhrowscreamer on December 9, 2009 3:15 PM

    These stats will be celebrated by bus boy if he sees them.

  14. Comment by giggshasscored on December 10, 2009 9:53 AM

    I sure hope George John avoids the injury bug in 2010.

  15. Comment by Pegasus on December 10, 2009 3:21 PM

    I guess my question for it’s use for FCD is that since all 4 defenders, the goalie and defensive mid changed it’s hard to compare the new against the old. Obviously the new as a group was better but was every player better or did some with the old group look bad because of who they were surrounded by and vice versa with the new. It would be telling on a team with mostly stable starters where two players split time.

Comments RSS TrackBack Identifier URI

Leave a comment

© Copyright 1996-2009 A. Buzz Carrick, All Rights Reserved. This website is an unofficial and independently-operated source of soccer news and information and is not directly affiliated with or endorsed by any team, league or their owners. Logos and other promotional materials are property of their respective owners. For FC Dallas' official team site, visit www.fcdallas.net. Interested in contributing to our effort? Then contact us at buzz@3rddegree.net

Founded October 1997

Volume Fourteen