5 of 6: Final Verdict
June 22nd, 2009 . 2:23 pm . By: Buzz CarrickWe’ve beat it to death but now, but the ideal chance FCD had to get back into the race, the stretch of five of six games at home, has come and gone. So how did they do? We said at the time FCD needed to win 3+ of the 6. I.e. more than 9 points. Leave it to FCD to just barely miss the mark. Hyndman thinks they can still do it, so perhaps there is the tiniest fraction of a chance they can salvage it. Let’s look. FCD is one game from halfway and has 13 points. As you can see from the standings that bottom two teams “in” the playoffs right now have 19 with one game to play for halfway. Figuratively speaking, double that 19 and you get the hypothetical 40 points I have been mentioning over and over. So FCD has 16 games to go needing 27 points. That’s 9-7-0, or 8-5-3, or 7-3-6, or 6-1-9. Essentially that means playing as well from here on out as Houston and Chivas have to this point. Sure, FCD has been playing better of late, but those are some nuts numbers. Bad teams don’t become good teams over night. Add onto that the number of teams in the way. FCD has to pass LA, New England, RSL, Toronto, and one more team to make the playoffs. All while staying ahead of San Jose and New York. Possibly? I suppose theoretically it is. But I’m not going to hold my breath. 7 Comments Comments RSS TrackBack Identifier URI Leave a comment |
If (big if) SH keeps the team from the last 20 minutes of last game intact (read: Avila and Shea, no Saragosa), can avoid major injuries, and continue to establish a rhythm (it is beginning to show), this team will make the playoffs. 9 points in the last 6 games and this team has shown some heart and some good play.. I’ll go on a limb and say playoff are not out of the question
7-3-6 doesn’t sound IMPOSSIBLE. Highly unlikely? Sure. But not impossible. I agree that bad teams don’t become good overnight, but if you go with the premise that FCD is a decent team with bad luck then maybe getting to “good team” status isn’t that much of a leap. I dunno. Kinda grasping for straws so that I have something to care about for the next 4 months. Hey, Buzz, how about some kind of running “Points Needed to 40″ counter on the homepage or something?
Tex, not a bad idea.
Could use a boost from the #1 allocation…
Yeah what exactly is going on with the allocation? We’re about to hit July and i haven’t even begun to hear about rumors, let alone signings.
Any national teamers need to get instant playing time to make the WC side?
[...] You may recall that on June 22nd I called the season as being over. FCD had a stretch run of 5 of 6 games at home and they didn’t get to the total I had said they needed, which was to win 3+ of the six. At the end of that run I said… So FCD has 16 games to go needing 27 points. That’s 9-7-0, or 8-5-3, or 7-3-6, or 6-1-9. Essentially that means playing as well from here on out as Houston and Chivas have to this point [...]